military drone
Recently, a news story shocked the international military community, shaking global strategic dynamics—Israel is reportedly planning to purchase 20,000 drones. But is this true? An analysis offers some food for thought. On September 2, 2024, a brief yet powerful announcement spread quickly around the globe: “The Israeli military is procuring 20,000 drones.” Behind these few words, there seems to be a significant strategic move by the Israel Defense Forces in the realm of unmanned combat systems. But is the news authentic? Some speculate it may be a revival of a 2018 rumor circulating on platforms like Twitter, discussing Israel’s alleged intent to buy 20,000 DJI drones. Thus, this “new” news could simply be a resurfacing of old rumors, potentially driven by marketing interests or avid drone enthusiasts.
Shahed 136

Drones: The Game-Changer in Modern Warfare

While the scale of the 20,000-unit order may be debatable, the significance of drones in warfare is indisputable. As unmanned tools, drones excel in completing high-risk missions that would be challenging for manned aircraft, such as deep reconnaissance behind enemy lines and precision strikes on high-value targets. By leveraging swarm tactics, they can also disrupt traditional combat paradigms by outnumbering adversarial forces. Moreover, drones reduce human casualties, making military operations more sustainable in the long run—because human life is priceless. Drone warfare, in this context, becomes a more accessible means of engagement.

Take, for example, the Russia-Ukraine war, which began in February 2022. Initially, Russian forces deployed small to medium reconnaissance drones for battlefield monitoring. By September 2022, Russia had imported thousands of Iranian-made Shahed-136 suicide drones and began domestic production, significantly boosting its attack capabilities. Meanwhile, Ukraine, lacking air superiority and a robust defense industry, relied heavily on NATO-supplied drones for reconnaissance and ground assaults. With increased assistance from NATO, Ukraine deployed drones in mass to gather intelligence and attack Russian command centers and artillery positions. By mid-2022, Ukraine had even launched its “Drone Army” initiative to scale domestic drone production. In 2023, Ukraine’s drone production capacity increased 130-fold, with an order of 300,000 drones. By December, Ukraine set a goal of producing 1 million drones annually and established a dedicated combat drone force.

Israel, a global leader in drone technology, has demonstrated the effectiveness of drones like the Heron, Harpy, and Hermes in various conflicts. From targeted eliminations of Hezbollah leaders to ongoing surveillance in Gaza and current battles with Hamas, drones have become indispensable to the Israeli Defense Forces.

The Global Boom in Military Drone Markets

Many Asia-Pacific nations, including Israel, are rapidly increasing their procurement of military drones, making this region one of the fastest-growing in the world, with a high compound annual growth rate. Ongoing conflicts, particularly between Israel and Hamas, as well as territorial disputes involving India, Syria, Iran, Pakistan, and Turkey, have fueled this surge in drone demand. Many of these nations have escalated defense spending to purchase reconnaissance drones, enhancing their border surveillance capabilities.

This arms race in the drone sector is inevitable under the backdrop of war and territorial disputes. The conflict between Israel and Hamas has already intensified a regional arms race, prompting neighboring countries to accelerate drone technology development. Pakistan, for example, has purchased over 48 GJ-2 drones from China. The GJ-2 is a medium-altitude, long-endurance (MALE) drone capable of carrying 12 missiles or bombs and reaching speeds of up to 380 km/h.

Meanwhile, India is also heavily investing in drone technology. At the end of 2021, India’s Army, Navy, and Air Force signed several contracts for drones, loitering munitions, and anti-drone systems worth over 5 billion rupees (approx. 439 million RMB).

On the Syrian battlefield, countries like the U.S., Russia, Israel, Turkey, and Iran have extensively deployed drones. Iran, in particular, has developed a suite of combat drones nearly on par with Western technologies. Its drones are widely used by its military and the Revolutionary Guards, providing a significant deterrent against U.S. forces. Recently, Iran supplied thousands of drones to Russia for use in the Ukraine war, including the Shahed-136.

Turkey, another major player, has exported drones to over 40 countries. By December 2023, Turkish manufacturer Baykar had signed export contracts with 33 countries, including nations in Asia, Europe, and Africa, with its Bayraktar TB-2 drone logging over 750,000 flight hours.

Global Defense Market and Rising Drone Sales

The growing demand for drones in conflict zones has also impacted global defense markets. Russia has produced over 10,000 drones and plans to manufacture an additional 50,000. Meanwhile, Ukraine is ramping up production with an ambitious target of 1 million drones. This mass production will undoubtedly influence the outcome of the Russia-Ukraine war.

In the Americas, the military drone market continues to thrive, with North America holding the largest market share in 2022. This dominance is driven by major defense contractors like Northrop Grumman, General Atomics, and Lockheed Martin. These companies have secured contracts for high-altitude long-endurance (HALE) and medium-altitude long-endurance (MALE) drones from NATO and India.

In Europe, rising awareness of the need for enhanced air, naval, and military capabilities is expected to drive drone market growth. Countries like Germany, the UK, and France are actively procuring tactical and small drones to strengthen their intelligence and reconnaissance operations.

Conclusion

Whether in the Russia-Ukraine war or the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas, drones are at the forefront of modern warfare. While the news of Israel’s 20,000-drone procurement may be exaggerated, it reflects a growing global focus on drones as a key element in military strategy. The outcome of this arms race and the psychological warfare it spawns may significantly reshape global military balance, rewriting the future rules of war.

At Airmobi, our drones play an essential role in civilian applications and homeland security, such as inspections, mapping, aerial transportation, and anti-smuggling operations. However, the Russia-Ukraine war has raised concerns about civilian drones being repurposed for military use. In a serious incident, the Skyeye 5000 Fixed-wing UAV was once diverted to a conflict zone. Airmobi firmly states that our drones are not intended for battlefield use, and we hope that all civilian drones can be used solely for peaceful purposes. Airmobi does not support the export of our drones to conflict zones.